2013, Number 2
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Rev Cubana Med Trop 2013; 65 (2)
Stratification of the risk of becoming ill and dying from human leptospirosis
Verdasquera CD, Pérez SK, Norales MAD, Vázquez PA
Language: Spanish
References: 11
Page: 191-201
PDF size: 309.53 Kb.
ABSTRACT
Introduction: human leptospirosis is the zoonosis carrying the major impacts on
the public health in Cuba. During the last 10 years, several outbreaks have been
notified in different provinces.
Objectives: to stratify morbidity and mortality due to human leptospirosis
according to the epidemiological and spatial structure of Havana from 2001 to
2010.
Methods: an ecological study of time series using the exponential smoothing for
trend, the single indicator for stratification and the territorial structure based on
land-use criteria.
Results: the year 2002 registered the greatest risk of becoming ill with
4.51/100 000 inhabitants. Between 2001 and 2005, Boyeros and Cotorro
municipalities were in the high-risk stratum. During the 2006-2010 period, all
municipalities had incidence rates lower than 3/100 000 inhabitants. According to
the risk of dying, Regla and San Miguel del Padron were found in highest-risk
strata. The fatality rate showed the highest value in 2006, but there has been a
decreasing trend since then.
Conclusions: leptospirosis incidence showed differences in its geographical
distribution by time-strata, with a period of high incidence in three geographically
linked municipalities and subsequent periods of low endemicity throughout the
province. According to land-use criteria, the population at the highest risk of
becoming ill or dying is concentrated in the outskirts of the city.
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