2015, Número 2
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Revista Cubana de Información en Ciencias de la Salud (ACIMED) 2015; 26 (2)
Cómo hacer más fiable la investigación que se publica
Ioannidis JPA
Idioma: Español
Referencias bibliográficas: 74
Paginas: 187-200
Archivo PDF: 217.85 Kb.
FRAGMENTO
Los logros de la investigación científica son asombrosos. La ciencia se ha desarrollado desde que unos pocos aficionados se dedicaran a una vibrante industria donde más de 15 millones de personas han escrito más de 25 millones de trabajos científicos solamente entre 1996 y 2011 en todo el mundo. Sin embargo, los descubrimientos verdaderamente fiables y de más fácil aplicación son cada vez más escasos. Muchas de las nuevas asociaciones y/o efectos propuestos son falsos o burdamente exagerados, y la conversión del conocimiento en aplicaciones útiles
es a veces lenta y tremendamente ineficaz. Dada la abundante información existente, la meta-investigación (es decir, la investigación cuyo objeto de estudio
es la propia investigación) puede proporcionar estimados empíricos de la prevalencia de factores de riesgo en los altos índices de falso-positivos (estudios infundados; pequeño tamaño del efecto; escaso desarrollo de estudios previos; flexibilidad de los diseños, las definiciones, los resultados y los análisis; sesgos y conflictos de intereses; patrones endogámicos y falta de colaboración).3 En la actualidad, aproximadamente el 85 % de los recursos de investigación se malgastan.
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