2019, Number 1
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Ann Hepatol 2019; 18 (1)
Serum NGAL Is Superior to Cystatin C in Predicting the Prognosis of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure
Lu J, Lin L, Ye C, Tao Q, Cui M, Zheng S, Zhu D, Liu L, Xue Y
Language: English
References: 30
Page: 155-164
PDF size: 197.82 Kb.
ABSTRACT
Introduction and aim. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome with high short-term mortality, and predicting the
prognosis is challenging. This study aimed to compare the performance of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and
cystatin C (CysC) in predicting the 90-day mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated ACLF (HBV-ACLF). Materials
and methods. This prospective, observational study enrolled 54 patients with HBV-ACLF. The serum NGAL and CysC levels
were determined. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of mortality.
Results.
Serum NGAL, but not CysC, was found to significantly correlate with the total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and model for
end-stage liver disease (MELD). Serum NGAL [odds ratio (OR), 1.008; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.004-1.012; P ‹ 0.01], but not
CysC, was an independent risk factor for developing hepatorenal syndrome. Moreover, NGAL (OR, 1.005; 95% CI, 1.001–1.010; P
‹ 0.01) along with the MELD score was independently associated with the overall survival in patients with HBV-ACLF. Patients with
HBV-ACLF were stratified into two groups according to the serum NGAL level at baseline (low risk: ‹217.11 ng/mL and high risk: ≥
217.11 ng/mL). The 90-day mortality rate was 22.73% (5/22) in the low-risk group and 71.88% (23/32) in the high-risk group. Moreover,
NGAL, but not CysC, significantly improved the MELD score in predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF.
Conclusion. The serum
NGAL might be superior to CysC in predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF with the normal creatinine level.
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