medigraphic.com
Órgano Oficial de la Asociación Mexicana de Infectología Pediátrica y la SLIPE.

2009, Number 87

<< Back Next >>

Rev Enfer Infec Pediatr 2009; 22.23 (87)

Epidemiologic behavior of varicella in Mexico: 18 years of studies and estimations for the next five years

Cabrera GDA, Muñoz MW, Gómez ACM

Language: Spanish
References: 19
Page: 77-82
PDF size: 341.68 Kb.


ABSTRACT

Introduction: Varicella is a worldwide disease from seasonal trend; dominance in the winter and spring. According to the regulations in force in our country, varicella is reporting weekly.
Objective: The aim of this study was to determine the trend of varicella in Mexico from 1990 to 2007, from the Unified Information System for Epidemiological Surveillance (SUIVE) and make projections through 2012. Morbidity rates were calculated from the projected population of the National Population Council (CONAPO).
Material and methods: We conducted a regression analysis and Pearson correlation as statistical analysis. The incidence rate has increased since 1990 from 178 cases per 100,000 inhabitants to 264 in 2006, being the highest recorded in 2000 with 377 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (0.495, p=0.18, R=0.245, p=0.37). The reported cases have presented variations each year, but with upward trend (0.715, p=0.0004, R=0.511, p=0.001). The behavior of varicella tends to be cyclical, with increases in incidence reflected during 1995, 2000 and 2004. For the whole estimated period, the explanation was for 82.8% of the cases (0.828, p=0.0005) and 63.6% for the incidence rate (0.636, p=0.0005).
Conclusion: The behavior of varicella in our country is cyclical, every four or five years would be an increase in incidence, so we need to continue and improve epidemiological surveillance in our country.


REFERENCES

  1. Heymann DL. El control de las enfermedades transmisibles. 18ª edición. Washington: Organización Panamericana de la Salud; 2005. p. 698-705.

  2. Mandell GL, Bennett JE, Dolin R. Enfermedades infecciosas. Principios y práctica. Tomo II. 5ª edición. Argentina: Editorial Médica Panamericana; 2002. p. 1931-8.

  3. Ross AH. Modification of varicella in family contacts by administration of gamma globulin. N Engl J Med1962;267:369-76.

  4. Paryani SG, Arvin AM. Intrauterine infection with varicella zoster virus after maternal varicella. N Engl J Med 1986;314:1542-6.

  5. Choo WP, Donahue GJ, Manson EJ, Platt R. The epidemiology varicella and its complications. J Infect Dis 1995;172:706-12.

  6. Johnson R, Milbourn PE. Central nervous system manifestations of varicella. Can Med J 1970;102:831.

  7. Dirección General de Salud Pública. Informe de situación en la región de Murcia en el año 2004. España, 2004. p. 1-7.

  8. Secretaría de Salud. Dirección General Adjunta de Epidemiología. Anuarios de morbilidad. Sistema Único de Información para la Vigilancia Epidemiológica. México, 1990-2007.

  9. Aristegui J, Calbo F, Diez-Domingo J, Gonzalez J, Moraga F, Peña J, et al. Varicella epidemiology in Spain: prospective, multicenter study in children attending primary care centers. 19th Annual Meeting of European Society for Paediatric Infectious Diseases (ESPID). Estambul 2001. Abstract Book, 2001;58.

  10. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of Notifiable Diseases-United States, 2000. MMWR 2002;49(53):1-102.

  11. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of Notifiable Diseases-United States, 2001. MMWR 2003;50(53):1-108.

  12. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of Notifiable Diseases-United States, 2002. MMWR 2004;51(53):1-84.

  13. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of Notifiable Diseases-United States, 2003. MMWR 2005;52(54):1-86.

  14. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of Notifiable Diseases-United States, 2004. MMWR 2006;53(53):1-81.

  15. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of Notifiable Diseases-United States, 2005. MMWR 2007;54(53):1-92.

  16. Ministerio de Salud de Venezuela. Boletín Epidemiológico Semanal. Actualización de la Situación de varicela en Santa Fe de Bogotá. Enero, 1997. p. 1-4.

  17. Ministerio de Protección Social. Instituto Nacional de Salud. Protocolo de Vigilancia de Varicela. Colombia.

  18. Moraga-Llop FA. Vacuna de la varicela: una nueva vacuna sistemática. BSCP Can Ped 2001;25(2):133-52.

  19. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Update: Recommendations from the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) Regarding Administration of Combination MMRV Vaccine. MMWR 2008;57(10):258-60.




2020     |     www.medigraphic.com