2020, Number 4
<< Back Next >>
Revista Cubana de Información en Ciencias de la Salud (ACIMED) 2020; 31 (4)
Association between the pandemic COVID-19 and internet search trends in Latin America
Aquino CCR, Caira CBS, Chávez BSG
Language: Spanish
References: 43
Page: 1-20
PDF size: 1276.71 Kb.
ABSTRACT
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has put the world in a health emergency. The search for information through the Internet largely reflects the interest of people in this pandemic. The present study aimed to determine the association between the relative search volume of the combined term [coronavirus + covid-19 + "new coronavirus" + covid + SARS-CoV-2], and the number of confirmed cases and daily deaths from the COVID-19. Google TrendsTM was used to provide data on the relative search volume in Google for the selected terms and compare it with the number of confirmed cases and daily deaths from COVID-19 in the 10 most affected countries in Latin America, reported by the control panel of the World Health Organization on COVID-19 disease. The evaluation period was from January 01 to June 14, 2020. To obtain the relationship between quantitative variables, the Spearman correlation coefficient was used, with a level of significance (p≤ 0.05). A positive and significant correlation (p< 0.001) was found between the relative search volume of the term combined with the number of confirmed cases and deaths by day because of COVID-19. Therefore, an interest-based internet search model can be used to predict the development and peak timing of the COVID-19 outbreak.
REFERENCES
Centurión OA, Scavenius KE, García LB, Torales JM, Miño LM. Potential mechanisms of cardiac injury and common pathways of inflammation in patients with COVID-19. Crit Pathw Cardiol. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://europepmc.org/article/med/32467423
Lai CC, Shih TP, Ko WC, Tang HJ, Hsueh PR. Severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): The epidemic and the challenges. Int J Antimicr Agents. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020];55(3):105924. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32081636/
World Health Organization (WHO). WHO Director-General´s remarks at the media briefing on 2019-nCoV on 11 February 2020. WHO; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-2019-ncov-on-11-february-2020
World Health Organization (WHO). Coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Situation Report-149. WHO; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200702-covid-19-sitrep-164.pdf?sfvrsn=ac074f58_2
Organización Panamericana de la Salud (OPS). Situación de la COVID-19 en la región. OPS; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.paho.org/es/temas/coronavirus/brote-enfermedad-por-coronavirus-covid-19
Zhao YQ, Ma WJ. A Review on the Advancement of Internet-Based Public Health Surveillance Program. Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2017 [acceso: 02/07/2020];38(2):272-6. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28231680/
Verma M, Kishore K, Kumar M, Sondh AR, Aggarwal G, Kathirvel S. Google Search Trends Predicting Disease Outbreaks: An Analysis From India. Healthc Inform Res. 2018 [acceso: 02/07/2020];24(4):300-8. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30443418/
Arora VS, McKee M, Stuckler D. Google Trends: Opportunities and Limitations in Health and Health Policy Research. Health Policy. 2019 [acceso: 02/07/2020]; 123(3):338-41. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30660346/
Fitz Maurice M, Di Tommaso F, Baranchuk A. Effect of an Intervention on Social Networks in the Time of COVID-19. Buenos Aires: Medicina. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020];80(3):310. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32442956/
World Health Organization (WHO). Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. WHO; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/
Sousa-Pinto B, Anto A, Czarlewski W, Anto J, Almeida J, Bousquet J. Assessment of the Impact of Media Coverage on COVID-19-Related Google Trends Data: Infodemiology Study. J Med Internet Res. 2020;22(8):e19611.
Iglesias-Osores S, Saavedra-Camacho JL. Aplicaciones de búsqueda de Google para la comunicación de riesgos en el manejo de la COVID-19. Rev Ciencias Médicas [Internet]. 2020 [acceso: 04/08/2020];24(4):e4479. Disponible en: http://revcmpinar.sld.cu/index.php/publicaciones/article/view/4479
Rovetta A, Srikamth A. COVID-19-Related Web Search Behaviors and Infodemic Attitudes in Italy: Infodemiological Study. JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2020 May 5;6(2):e19374. DOI: https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.2196/19374
Delmo de Carvalho A, Andrade J, Carvalho Batista de Carvallo A, de Sousa A, Feres D, Vasconcellos-Silva P. Búsqueda de información sobre el nuevo coronavirus en Brasil: análisis de la tendencia según las búsquedas en internet. Acta Paul Enferm. 2020;33:20200004.
Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS). Brote de enfermedad por coronavirus (COVID-19): orientaciones para el público. OMS; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.who.int/es/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public
World Health Organization (WHO). Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): situation report-55. WHO; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200315-sitrep-55-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=33daa5cb_8
World Health Organization (WHO). Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): situation report-38. WHO; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200227-sitrep-38-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=2db7a09b_4
World Health Organization (WHO). Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): situation report-61. WHO; 2020 [access: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200321-sitrep-61-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=ce5ca11c_2
Rodríguez-Morales AJ, Gallego V, Escalera-Antezana JP, et al. COVID-19 in Latin America: The Implications of the First Confirmed Case in Brazil. Travel Med Infect Dis. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020];35:101613. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32126292/
Croda J, Oliveira W, Frutuoso L, Mandetta L, Baia D, Brito-Sousa J, et al. COVID-19 in Brazil: advantages of a socialized unified health system and preparation to contain cases. Rev Soc Bras Med Trop. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020];53:e20200167. Disponible en: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037- 86822020000101000&lng=en
República de la Argentina. Prohibición de ingreso al territorio nacional. Decreto 274/2020 de 16 de marzo de 2020. Boletín Oficial de la República Argentina Nº 34.330; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.boletinoficial.gob.ar/suplementos/2020031601NS.pdf
Gutiérrez-Jara JP. Modelo de umbral de reducción de tasa diaria de casos COVID-19 para evitar el colapso hospitalario en Chile. Medwave. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020];20(3):e7871. Disponible en: https://www.medwave.cl/link.cgi/Medwave/Revisiones/Analisis/7871.act
Presidencia del Consejo de Ministros Perú. Decreto Supremo que declara Estado de Emergencia Nacional por las graves circunstancias que afectan la vida de la Nación a consecuencia del brote del COVID-19. N° 044-2020-PCM.2020. Lima-Perú: El Peruano; 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020]. Disponible en: Disponible en: http://www.exteriores.gob.es/Embajadas/LIMA/es/Noticias/Documents/1864948-2.pdf
Johns Hopkins University. Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University. JHU; 2020 [acceso 27/06/2020]. Disponible en: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
Maguiña C. Reflections on COVID-19 infection, Colégio Medico del Perú and the Public Health. Acta Méd Peru. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020];37(1):8-10. Disponible en: http://dx.doi.org/10.35663/amp.2020.371.929
Inca GP, Inca A. Evolución de la enfermedad por coronavirus (COVID-19) en Ecuador. La Ciencia al Servicio de la Salud. 2020 [acceso: 02/07/2020];11(1):5-15. Disponible en: http://revistas.espoch.edu.ec/index.php/cssn/article/view/441
Presidente Constitucional de la República de Ecuador. Decreto Presidencial que declara Estado de Excepción por calamidad pública en todo el territorio nacional. Decreto presidencial N° 1017-17; 2020 [acceso 03/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.defensa.gob.ec/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2020/03/Decreto_presidencial_No_1017_17-Marzo-2020.pdf
Torres I, Sacoto F. Localising an asset-based COVID-19 response in Ecuador. Lancet. 2020 [acceso: 03/07/2020];395(10233):1339. Disponible en: https://pesquisa.bvsalud.org/portal/resource/es/mdl-32277877
Manrique-Abril F, Agudelo-Calderón C, Gonzales-Chordá V, Gutiérrez-Lesmes O, Téllez-Piñerez C, Herrera-Amaya G. Modelo SIR de la pandemia de Covid-19 en Colombia. Rev Salud Públ. 2020 [acceso: 03/07/2020];22(2):1-9. Available at: https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/revsaludpublica/article/view/85977
Presidencia de la República de Colombia. Decreto Presidencial que declara Estado de Emergencia Económica, Social y Ecológica en todo el Territorio Nacional. Decreto presidencial N°417; 2020 [acceso: 03/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://dapre.presidencia.gov.co/normativa/normativa/DECRETO%20417%20DEL%2017%20DE%20MARZO%20DE%202020.pdf
Violini G. Desarrollo del contagio de COVID-19 e implicaciones para la República Dominicana. PUCMM; 2020 [acceso: 03/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/340065633_Desarrollo_del_contagio_de_Covid-19_e_implicaciones_para_la_Republica_Dominicana_Galileo_Violini_PUCMM
Presidente de la República Dominicana. Decreto Presidencial que declara Estado de Emergencia en todo el Territorio Nacional [acceso: 25/06/2020]. Decreto presidencial No. 134-20; 2020. Disponible en: https://presidencia.gob.do/sites/default/files/2020-03/Decreto%20134-20.pdf
Gobierno de la República Dominicana. Ministerio de Salud Pública recomienda medidas preventivas en el lugar de trabajo para prevenir COVID-19. República Dominicana: Ministerio de Salud Pública; 2020 [acceso: 03/07/2020]. Disponible en: Disponible en: https://www.msp.gob.do/web/?p=6496
Escalera-Antezana JP, Lizon-Ferrufino NF, Maldonado-Alanoca A, Alarcón G, Alvarado L, Balderrama M, et al. Clinical features of the first cases and a cluster of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Bolivia imported from Italy and Spain. Travel Med Infect Dis. 2020;35:101653.
Teng Y, Bi D, Xie G, Jin Y, Huang Y, Lin B, An X, Feng D, Tong Y. Dynamic Forecasting of Zika Epidemics Using Google Trends. PLoS One. 2017 [acceso: 04/07/2020];12(1):0165085. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28060809/
Gluskin RT, Johansson MA, Santillana M, Brownstein JS. Evaluation of Internet-based dengue query data: Google Dengue Trends. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2014 [acceso: 03/07/2020];8:2713. Disponible en: https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0002713
Yang S, Santillana M, Kou SC. Accurate estimation of influenza Epidemics using Google search data via ARGO. EE.UU.: Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2015 [acceso: 03/07/2020];112:14473-8. Disponible en: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4664296/
Alicino C, Bragazzi NL, Faccio V, Amicizia D, Panatto D, Gasparini R, et al. Assessing Ebola-related Web Search Behaviour: Insights and Implications From an Analytical Study of Google Trends-based Query Volumes. Infect Dis Pov. 2015 [acceso: 04/07/2020];4:54. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26654247/
Walker A, Hopkins C, Surda P. The use of google trends to investigate the loss of smell related searches during COVID-19 outbreak. Int Forum Allergy Rhinol. 2020 [acceso: 04/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7262261/
Mohammad R, Mendi F, Malek S. Google It Up! A Google Trends-based analysis of COVID-19 outbreak in Iran. MAGKS Papers on Economics. 2020 [acceso: 03/07/2020]. Disponible en: https://ideas.repec.org/p/mar/magkse/202017.html
Effenberger M, Kronbichler A, Shin JI, Mayer G, Tilg H, Perco P. Association of the COVID-19 Pandemic With Internet Search Volumes: A Google TrendsTM Analysis. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 [acceso: 05/07/2020];95:192-7. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32305520/
Yuan X, Xu J, Hussain S, Wang H, Gao N, Zhang L. Trends and Prediction in Daily New Cases and Deaths of COVID-19 in the United States: An Internet Search-Interest Based Model. Explor Res Hypothesis Med. 2020 [acceso: 05/07/2020];5(2):1-6. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32348380/
Mavragani A, Ochoa G. Google Trends in Infodemiology and Infoveillance: Methodology Framework. JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2019;5(2):e13439.