2020, Number 3
A weekly analysis of cases confirmed to COVID-19 in Cuba: first 70 days
Language: Spanish
References: 11
Page: 485-491
PDF size: 331.75 Kb.
ABSTRACT
Foundation: COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV2, has evolved as a pandemic that accounts for more than 1 million infections and has killed, up to now, more than 300,000 people.Objective: to describe the weekly behavior of confirmed cases of the disease in the country, making an assessment of its incidence.
Methods: descriptive and trend analysis of the 10 weeks completed from Monday to Sunday of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Cuba from March 11 to May 17, 2020. The analysis was performed with the statistical language R.
Results: it was found that weeks 5, 6 and 7 had the highest mean of confirmed cases. In addition, it was observed that weeks 2, 3, 8 and 10 are those of greater variability. The value furthest from the mean was presented in week 8 with 74 cases on Friday and the highest values were presented between Wednesday and Saturday in 8 of the weeks studied.
Conclusion: in Cuba a flattening of the line has been achieved, which shows in a favorable scenario and where the variations given by sporadic outbreaks and with rapid control do not significantly deform this line. This justifies few variations by weeks, with a sustained trend of decreasing number of cases.
REFERENCES
Cubadebate. COVID-19 en el mundo: La pandemia podría retroceder el desarrollo humano por primera vez en 30 años, alerta PNUD [Internet]. La Habana: UCI; 2020 [citado 22/05/2020]. Disponible en: Disponible en: http://www.cubadebate.cu/noticias/2020/05/21/covid-19-en-el-mundo-la-pandemia-podria-retroceder-el-desarrollo-humano-por-primera-vez-en-30-anos-alerta-pnud/#.Xs1d0z_B-1s.
Leyva Caballero R. Voluntad política e intersectorialidad para el enfrentamiento a la COVID-19 en Cuba. Revista Habanera de Ciencias Médicas [revista en Internet]. 2020 [citado 22/05/2020];19(2):[aprox. 9p]. Disponible en: Disponible en: http://www.revhabanera.sld.cu/index.php/rhab/article/view/3241.
Carmona-Tamayo E. Cuba en Datos: La COVID-19 baja sus números, pero el riesgo se mantiene [Internet]. La Habana: UCI ; 2020 [citado 22/05/2020]. Disponible en: Disponible en: http://www.cubadebate.cu/especiales/2020/05/20/cuba-en-datos-la-covid-19-baja-sus-numeros-pero-el-riesgo-se-mantiene/#.XsfyTfGVubk.
Del Prado N. Sobre modelos matemáticos y la COVID-19, con el acompañamiento de dos destacados científicos cubanos [Internet]. La Habana: UCI ; 2020 [citado 22/05/2020]. Disponible en: Disponible en: http://www.cubadebate.cu/especiales/2020/05/22/sobre-modelos-matematicos-y-la-covid-19-con-el-acompanamiento-de-dos-destacados-cientificos-cubanos/#.XsfRWvGVubk.