2017, Number 2
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Rev Cuba Endoc 2017; 28 (2)
Evaluation of three methodologies for risk prediction of impaired glucose metabolism in overweighed and obese subjects
Cabrera RE, Rodríguez CV, Rodríguez J, Cubas DI, Álvarez ÁA, Arnold DY, Díaz DO
Language: Spanish
References: 54
Page: 1-19
PDF size: 196.43 Kb.
ABSTRACT
Introduction: at present, there is no set strategy in Cuba for the screening of
impaired glucose metabolism.
Objective: to evaluate the diagnostic capacity of three methodologies to predict
the risk of impaired glucose metabolism in overweighed and obese individuals.
Methods: a longitudinal diagnostic evaluation study was carried out using data
from 90 subjects aged 25 to 70 years, which were analyzed two and a half years
after the initial assessment. Information about age, sex, personal pathological
history, used medication, weight, height, waist circumference and blood pressure as
well the glucose concentrations at the beginning and two and a half years later,
insulin and triglyceride indexes was collected in addition to estimating the insulinresistance
index in the initial evaluation. A risk-score model for type 2 diabetes was
also used.
Results: the frequency of impaired glucose metabolism (impaired fasting glycemia
and type 2 diabetes) after two and a half years, according to the previous existence
or not of impaired fasting glycemia, insulin resistance and moderate/high risk of
type 2 diabetes, was higher in subjects with previous impaired fasting glycemia
(72,4 % [21/29]), with insulin resistance at the beginning (65.6 % [40/61]) and
with moderate/high risk (54,4 % [43/79]) than in those individuals without
impaired fasting glycemia, insulin resistance and with low diabetes risk (41.0 %
[25/61], p= 0,005; 20.7 % [6/29], p= 0.006 and 27.3 % [3/11], p< 0.0001,
respectively). Insulin resistance index and moderate/high risk of type 2 diabetes
showed high sensitivity to identify subjects with impaired glucose metabolism (87.0
and 93.5 %, respectively), in contrast to impaired fasting glucose whose sensitivity
was low (45.7 %). Of 19 individuals who developed type 2 diabetes two and a half
years later, 100 % had moderate/high risk of type 2 diabetes and 94.7 % had
insulin resistance at the beginning.
Conclusions: insulin resistance and risk of type 2 diabetes could be very useful in
detecting individuals with high risk of developing diabetes.
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