2015, Number 4
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Finlay 2015; 5 (4)
Risk factors for stroke-associated pneumonia: a prospective cohort study
Suárez QA, López EE, García VN, Serra VMÁ
Language: Spanish
References: 23
Page: 242-252
PDF size: 406.25 Kb.
ABSTRACT
Background: stroke-associated pneumonia prolongs
hospital stay and is an important risk factor for
morbidity and mortality.
Objective: to determine risk factors for
stroke-associated pneumonia.
Methods: a prospective single-cohort study was
conducted involving 390 patients aged 16-93 years who
met clinical and neuroimaging criteria for acute stroke
treated at the Carlos Manuel de Céspedes Hospital from
January 2012 through March 2015. Univariate
comparison of qualitative variables was performed by
using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox regression
model was applied for multivariate analysis of risk
factors for pneumonia. The area under the ROC curve
was used to determine the discriminatory power of the
model.
Results: two hundred thirteen patients (54.6 %) with
ischemic stroke and 177 (45.4 %) with hemorrhagic
stroke were studied. Cases of nosocomial pneumonia
after acute stroke accounted for 25.4 %. Subjects who
developed pneumonia had lower scores on the Glasgow
scale and higher scores on the modified Rankin scale.
The following risk factors were identified using the Cox
regression model: Glasgow coma score (Exp (B): 0.687;
95 % CI 0.630 to 0.750) and stroke subtype (Exp (B):
1.723; 95 % CI 1.137 to 2.610). The area under the ROC
curve was 0.88.
Conclusions: the risk factors for the development of nosocomial pneumonia after acute stroke found were
the level of consciousness and suffering a hemorrhagic
stroke. Other influencing variables are chronic
obstructive pulmonary disease and heart disease as a
comorbid condition.
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