2015, Number 5
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Ann Hepatol 2015; 14 (5)
Liver-specific case fatality due to chronic hepatitis C virus infection: a systematic review
Szabo SM, Samp JC, Walker DR, Lane S, Cline SK, Gooch KL, Jimenez-Mendez R, Levy AR
Language: English
References: 46
Page: 618-630
PDF size: 129.47 Kb.
ABSTRACT
Despite reports that mortality is increasing, overall case fatality due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) is thought to
be low. Given the variability in published rates, we aimed to synthesize estimates of liver-specific case fatality
and all-cause mortality in chronic HCV according to follow-up duration, sustained viral response (SVR)
to treatment, and liver disease severity. A systematic review was conducted of studies published in English
from 2003 to 2013, reporting liver-specific case fatality estimates from HCV-infected samples. Thirty-five eligible
articles were identified; 26 also presented estimates of all-cause mortality. Among community-based
samples, liver-specific case fatality ranged from 0.3% over 5.7 years to 9.2% over 8.2 years of follow-up; and
of all-cause mortality, from 4.0% over 5.7 years, to 23.0% over 8.2 years of follow-up. Estimates were higher
among clinic-based samples and those with more severe liver disease. Among treated patients achieving
SVR, liver-specific case fatality was low: up to 1.4% over 11.5 years of follow-up among samples with any severity
of liver disease. Estimates were higher among those without SVR: up to 14.0% over 10 years of followup
among samples with any severity of liver disease, and higher still among samples with more severe liver
disease. The proportion of deaths attributable to liver-specific causes ranged from 55 to 85% among those
with severe liver disease. Published estimates of fatality are high among certain populations of chronic
HCV patients, with liver-specific causes being an important contributor. Understanding current HCV mortality
rates is important for quantifying the total burden of HCV disease.
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